Middleweight
3 Rounds
Donte Johnson won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 7, 2026·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Donte Johnson wins(54.0%)
Actual result: Donte Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Donte Johnson has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Donte Johnson (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Donte Johnson
Red Corner
VS
Cody Brundage
Blue Corner
-900
(90%)
Vegas Odds
+610
(14%)
27
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Donte Johnson
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Sedriques Dumas · Nov 25Cody BrundageL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Bo Nickal · Apr 24W
KOvs Julian Marquez · Mar 25D
vs Mansur Abdul-Malik · Jun 25L
vs Eric McConico · Aug 25L
KOvs Cam Rowston · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Donte JohnsonMetricCody Brundage
3.11
Strikes / min
2.26
2.00
Strikes absorbed / min
3.02
61%
Strike defense
50%
2.00
TDs / 15 min
1.88
75%
Takedown defense
68%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.11Δ 1.87 — meaningful gap-0.76
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Donte JohnsonCody Brundage
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Donte Johnson(2 fights)Cody Brundage(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+44.9-44.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+91.0-91.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Donte Johnson
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights2
Cody Brundage
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights14