Middleweight
3 Rounds
Donte Johnson won · SUB R2
DJ
SD
Donte JohnsonvsSedriques Dumas
UFC Event · Saturday, November 1, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Donte Johnson wins(63.6%)
Actual result: Donte Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Donte Johnson threatens submissions; Sedriques Dumas has lost 40% of fights by sub.
- Donte Johnson has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Donte Johnson (53.5%).
- Sedriques Dumas has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Donte Johnson
Red Corner
VS
Sedriques Dumas
Blue Corner
-350
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+280
(26%)
27
Age
30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
6'2"
187.96 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Donte Johnson
oldest →latest
W
vs Cody Brundage · Mar 26Sedriques DumasL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Abu Azaitar · Oct 23L
KOvs Nursulton Ruziboev · Mar 24W
vs Denis Tiuliulin · Aug 24L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Apr 25L
vs Zach Reese · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Donte JohnsonMetricSedriques Dumas
3.11
Strikes / min
1.97
2.00
Strikes absorbed / min
2.64
61%
Strike defense
53%
2.00
TDs / 15 min
1.30
75%
Takedown defense
33%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.11Δ 1.78 — meaningful gap-0.67
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Donte JohnsonSedriques Dumas
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Donte Johnson(2 fights)Sedriques Dumas(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+4.9-4.9
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.7-49.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.7-49.7
Donte Johnson
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights2
Sedriques Dumas
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights8