Featherweight
3 Rounds
Douglas Silva de Andrade won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 16, 2019·Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupDouglas Silva de Andrade: Well-roundedvsRenan Barao: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Renan Barao wins(53.8%)
Actual result: Douglas Silva de Andrade wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Renan Barao enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Renan Barao has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Douglas Silva de Andrade
Red Corner
VS
Renan Barao
Blue Corner
-235
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+195
(34%)
40
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
172.72 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Douglas Silva de AndradeL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Sergey Morozov · Feb 22L
vs Said Nurmagomedov · Jul 22W
vs Cody Stamann · May 23L
vs Miles Johns · Jun 24L
KOvs Javier Reyes · Feb 26Renan BaraoL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Phillipe Nover · Sep 16L
vs Aljamain Sterling · Jul 17L
vs Brian Kelleher · Feb 18L
vs Andre Ewell · Sep 18L
KOvs Luke Sanders · Feb 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Douglas Silva de AndradeMetricRenan Barao
3.54
Strikes / min
3.78
4.09
Strikes absorbed / min
3.90
56%
Strike defense
57%
0.54
TDs / 15 min
1.49
71%
Takedown defense
91%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.55evenly matched on net striking-0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Douglas Silva de AndradeRenan Barao
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Douglas Silva de Andrade(10 fights)Renan Barao(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-4.74.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+50.0-50.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Douglas Silva de Andrade
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights14
Renan Barao
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights17