Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Said Nurmagomedov won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 9, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDouglas Silva de Andrade: Well-roundedvsSaid Nurmagomedov: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Douglas Silva de Andrade wins(60.3%)
Actual result: Said Nurmagomedov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Tale of the Tape
Douglas Silva de Andrade
Red Corner
VS
Said Nurmagomedov
Blue Corner
+380
(21%)
Vegas Odds
-475
(83%)
40
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'8"
172.72 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Douglas Silva de AndradeL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Gaetano Pirrello · Oct 21W
SUBvs Sergey Morozov · Feb 22W
vs Cody Stamann · May 23L
vs Miles Johns · Jun 24L
KOvs Javier Reyes · Feb 26Said NurmagomedovL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Saidyokub Kakhramonov · Dec 22L
vs Jonathan Martinez · Mar 23W
SUBvs Muin Gafurov · Oct 23L
vs Vinicius Oliveira · Feb 25L
vs Bryce Mitchell · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Douglas Silva de AndradeMetricSaid Nurmagomedov
3.54
Strikes / min
3.08
4.09
Strikes absorbed / min
2.05
56%
Strike defense
55%
0.54
TDs / 15 min
0.86
71%
Takedown defense
63%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.55Δ 1.58 — meaningful gap+1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Douglas Silva de AndradeSaid Nurmagomedov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Douglas Silva de Andrade(10 fights)Said Nurmagomedov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-16.116.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-21.021.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Douglas Silva de Andrade
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights14
Said Nurmagomedov
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11