Lightweight
3 Rounds
Drew Dober won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 17, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Drew Dober wins(55.4%)
Actual result: Drew Dober wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Drew Dober (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Drew Dober
Red Corner
VS
Bobby Green
Blue Corner
-170
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+145
(41%)
37
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Drew DoberW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Renato Moicano · Feb 24L
KOvs Jean Silva · Jul 24L
KOvs Manuel Torres · Mar 25W
KOvs Kyle Prepolec · Oct 25W
KOvs Michael Johnson · Mar 26Bobby Green
oldest →latest
L
vs Thiago Moises · Oct 20L
vs Rafael Fiziev · Aug 21W
KOvs Al Iaquinta · Nov 21W
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Feb 22L
KOvs Islam Makhachev · Feb 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Drew DoberMetricBobby Green
4.48
Strikes / min
—
4.33
Strikes absorbed / min
—
53%
Strike defense
—
0.61
TDs / 15 min
—
58%
Takedown defense
—
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
—
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Drew DoberBobby Green
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Drew Dober(10 fights)Bobby Green(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+27.1-27.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-154.0154.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Drew Dober
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights26
Bobby Green
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9