Lightweight
3 Rounds
Brad Riddell won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 12, 2021·Glendale, Arizona, USA, USA
Style matchupDrew Dober: Pressure fightervsBrad Riddell: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Brad Riddell wins(65.0%)
Actual result: Brad Riddell wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brad Riddell enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Drew Dober (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Drew Dober
Red Corner
VS
Brad Riddell
Blue Corner
-152
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
37
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Drew DoberW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Renato Moicano · Feb 24L
KOvs Jean Silva · Jul 24L
KOvs Manuel Torres · Mar 25W
KOvs Kyle Prepolec · Oct 25W
KOvs Michael Johnson · Mar 26Brad RiddellL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Magomed Mustafaev · Feb 20W
vs Alex Da Silva · Sep 20L
KOvs Rafael Fiziev · Dec 21L
SUBvs Jalin Turner · Jul 22L
SUBvs Renato Moicano · Nov 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Drew DoberMetricBrad Riddell
4.48
Strikes / min
4.71
4.33
Strikes absorbed / min
3.53
53%
Strike defense
53%
0.61
TDs / 15 min
1.77
58%
Takedown defense
63%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.15Δ 1.03 — meaningful gap+1.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Drew DoberBrad Riddell
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Drew Dober(10 fights)Brad Riddell(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+6.3-6.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-161.0161.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Drew Dober
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights26
Brad Riddell
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights7