Lightweight
3 Rounds
Jean Silva won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 13, 2024·Denver, Colorado, USA, USA
Style matchupDrew Dober: Pressure fightervsJean Silva: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Jean Silva wins(61.4%)
Actual result: Jean Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jean Silva has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Drew Dober (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Drew Dober
Red Corner
VS
Jean Silva
Blue Corner
-110
(52%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
37
Age
29
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Drew DoberW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Ricky Glenn · Oct 23L
vs Renato Moicano · Feb 24L
KOvs Manuel Torres · Mar 25W
KOvs Kyle Prepolec · Oct 25W
KOvs Michael Johnson · Mar 26Jean Silva
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Charles Jourdain · Jun 24W
KOvs Melsik Baghdasaryan · Feb 25W
SUBvs Bryce Mitchell · Apr 25L
KOvs Diego Lopes · Sep 25W
vs Arnold Allen · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Drew DoberMetricJean Silva
4.48
Strikes / min
4.82
4.33
Strikes absorbed / min
4.50
53%
Strike defense
53%
0.61
TDs / 15 min
1.20
58%
Takedown defense
78%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.15evenly matched on net striking+0.32
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Drew DoberJean Silva
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Drew Dober(10 fights)Jean Silva(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+36.0-36.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+147.0-147.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Drew Dober
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights26
Jean Silva
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights7