Lightweight
3 Rounds
Drew Dober won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, June 29, 2019·Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA, USA
Style matchupDrew Dober: Pressure fightervsMarco Polo Reyes: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Drew Dober wins(65.8%)
Actual result: Drew Dober wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Drew Dober is a KO finisher (73% of wins). Marco Polo Reyes has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Drew Dober (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Drew Dober
Red Corner
VS
Marco Polo Reyes
Blue Corner
-430
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+345
(22%)
37
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'11"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Drew DoberW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Renato Moicano · Feb 24L
KOvs Jean Silva · Jul 24L
KOvs Manuel Torres · Mar 25W
KOvs Kyle Prepolec · Oct 25W
KOvs Michael Johnson · Mar 26Marco Polo Reyes
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Kyle Nelson · Sep 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Drew DoberMetricMarco Polo Reyes
4.48
Strikes / min
6.00
4.33
Strikes absorbed / min
5.52
53%
Strike defense
59%
0.61
TDs / 15 min
0.00
58%
Takedown defense
46%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.15evenly matched on net striking+0.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Drew DoberMarco Polo Reyes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Drew Dober(10 fights)Marco Polo Reyes(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+23.7-23.7
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-47.947.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.949.9
Drew Dober
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights26
Marco Polo Reyes
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights2