Lightweight
3 Rounds
Drew Dober won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 18, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDrew Dober: Pressure fightervsNasrat Haqparast: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Nasrat Haqparast wins(57.4%)
Actual result: Drew Dober wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nasrat Haqparast has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Nasrat Haqparast has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Drew Dober
Red Corner
VS
Nasrat Haqparast
Blue Corner
+290
(26%)
Vegas Odds
-320
(76%)
37
Age
30
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Drew DoberW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Renato Moicano · Feb 24L
KOvs Jean Silva · Jul 24L
KOvs Manuel Torres · Mar 25W
KOvs Kyle Prepolec · Oct 25W
KOvs Michael Johnson · Mar 26Nasrat Haqparast
oldest →latest
W
vs Landon Quinones · Sep 23W
KOvs Jamie Mullarkey · Dec 23W
vs Jared Gordon · Jun 24W
vs Esteban Ribovics · Mar 25L
KOvs Quillan Salkilld · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Drew DoberMetricNasrat Haqparast
4.48
Strikes / min
6.36
4.33
Strikes absorbed / min
6.00
53%
Strike defense
63%
0.61
TDs / 15 min
0.34
58%
Takedown defense
86%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.15evenly matched on net striking+0.36
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Drew DoberNasrat Haqparast
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Drew Dober(10 fights)Nasrat Haqparast(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+4.5-4.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+35.0-35.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Drew Dober
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights26
Nasrat Haqparast
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights15