Middleweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Dricus Du Plessis won · SUB R4
UFC Event·Saturday, August 17, 2024·Perth, Western Australia, Australia, Australia
Style matchupDricus Du Plessis: WrestlervsIsrael Adesanya: Striker
Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Dricus Du Plessis wins(60.8%)
Actual result: Dricus Du Plessis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Israel Adesanya enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Israel Adesanya has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Israel Adesanya has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Dricus Du Plessis
Red Corner
VS
Israel Adesanya
Blue Corner
-120
(55%)
Vegas Odds
+100
(50%)
32
Age
36
Switch
Stance
Switch
6'1"
Height
6'4"
193.04 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dricus Du Plessis
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Derek Brunson · Mar 23W
KOvs Robert Whittaker · Jul 23W
vs Sean Strickland · Jan 24W
vs Sean Strickland · Feb 25L
vs Khamzat Chimaev · Aug 25Israel AdesanyaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Alex Pereira · Nov 22W
KOvs Alex Pereira · Apr 23L
vs Sean Strickland · Sep 23L
KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Feb 25L
KOvs Joe Pyfer · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dricus Du PlessisMetricIsrael Adesanya
5.18
Strikes / min
4.03
4.33
Strikes absorbed / min
3.22
52%
Strike defense
55%
2.22
TDs / 15 min
0.05
34%
Takedown defense
76%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.85evenly matched on net striking+0.81
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dricus Du PlessisIsrael Adesanya
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dricus Du Plessis(10 fights)Israel Adesanya(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-23.223.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-133.0133.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Dricus Du Plessis
StanceSwitch
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights10
Israel Adesanya
StanceSwitch
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights19