Lightweight
3 Rounds
Darren Elkins won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Sunday, March 21, 2010·Broomfield, Colorado, USA, USA
Style matchupDuane Ludwig: StrikervsDarren Elkins: Wrestler
Classic striker-vs-wrestler. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Duane Ludwig wins(52.0%)
Actual result: Darren Elkins wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Duane Ludwig enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Tale of the Tape
Duane Ludwig
Red Corner
VS
Darren Elkins
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
47
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Duane LudwigL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Nick Osipczak · Nov 10W
vs Amir Sadollah · Aug 11L
SUBvs Josh Neer · Jan 12L
KOvs Dan Hardy · May 12L
KOvs Che Mills · Sep 12Darren Elkins
oldest →latest
W
vs Tristan Connelly · Apr 22L
vs Jonathan Pearce · Dec 22W
SUBvs TJ Brown · Oct 23W
vs Daniel Pineda · Oct 24L
KOvs Julian Erosa · Apr 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Duane LudwigMetricDarren Elkins
4.62
Strikes / min
3.40
3.05
Strikes absorbed / min
3.34
57%
Strike defense
51%
0.43
TDs / 15 min
2.87
59%
Takedown defense
56%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.57Δ 1.51 — meaningful gap+0.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Duane LudwigDarren Elkins
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Duane Ludwig(6 fights)Darren Elkins(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Duane Ludwig
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights6
Darren Elkins
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights30