Welterweight
3 Rounds
Duane Ludwig won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 13, 2010·Oberhausen, North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany, Germany
Style matchupDuane Ludwig: StrikervsNick Osipczak: Submission grappler
Striker must keep this standing. Grappler wins big if it hits the floor.
Model Prediction: Duane Ludwig wins(54.5%)
Actual result: Duane Ludwig wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Duane Ludwig enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Nick Osipczak has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Duane Ludwig
Red Corner
VS
Nick Osipczak
Blue Corner
+280
(26%)
Vegas Odds
-340
(77%)
47
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'2"
177.8 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Duane LudwigL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Darren Elkins · Mar 10W
vs Amir Sadollah · Aug 11L
SUBvs Josh Neer · Jan 12L
KOvs Dan Hardy · May 12L
KOvs Che Mills · Sep 12Nick OsipczakL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Rick Story · Apr 10L
vs Greg Soto · Aug 10Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Duane LudwigMetricNick Osipczak
4.62
Strikes / min
2.83
3.05
Strikes absorbed / min
3.77
57%
Strike defense
50%
0.43
TDs / 15 min
1.20
59%
Takedown defense
71%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.57Δ 2.51 — meaningful gap-0.94
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Duane LudwigNick Osipczak
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Duane Ludwig(6 fights)Nick Osipczak(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.5-18.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+160.0-160.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Duane Ludwig
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights6
Nick Osipczak
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights3