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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Robert Valentin won · Submission R1

Elo1479

Elo1491

Dusko TodorovicvsRobert ValentinUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · Saturday, August 1, 2026Belgrade, Serbia

Official fight result

Robert Valentin won

Submission · Round 1 · 4:14

Engine 7.0 was wrong

Pre-fight pick: Dusko Todorovic

If $100 had been placed on our pre-fight pick

Dusko Todorovic at +139 American odds · hypothetical only

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Robert Valentin enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Dusko Todorovic is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Robert Valentin has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Dusko Todorovic has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Dusko Todorovic

Red Corner

Robert Valentin

Blue Corner

+139

(42%)

Vegas Odds

-168

(63%)

1479

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'2"

187.96 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dusko Todorovic

oldest →

KOvs Jordan Wright · Oct 22

KOvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Mar 23

KOvs Mansur Abdul-Malik · Nov 24

vs Zach Reese · May 25

SUBvs Jose Daniel Medina · Sep 25

latest

Robert ValentinL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Ryan Loder · Aug 24

vs Torrez Finney · Apr 25

KOvs Ateba Gautier · Jul 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dusko TodorovicMetricRobert Valentin

4.73

Strikes / min

1.30

4.40

Strikes absorbed / min

2.72

48%

Strike defense

33%

1.77

TDs / 15 min

0.59

42%

Takedown defense

55%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

1.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.33Δ 1.75 — meaningful gap-1.42

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dusko Todorovic(10 fights)Robert Valentin(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -12.6|Blue +12.6

Recent Form

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red -15.3|Blue +15.3

Layoff

Red -56.0|Blue +56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dusko TodorovicTargetRobert Valentin

By target zone

Head

0% acc

Body

50% acc · 100%

100% acc · 100%

Leg

By position

100% acc · 100%

Distance

33% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Dusko Todorovic rounds

even

Robert Valentin rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns2

Control1:00

1Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:37Control

Fight Stats

Totals

1 / 1

Sig Strikes

1 / 3

100%

Sig Str %

33%

1 / 1

Total Strikes

13 / 15

2 / 3

TDs

1 / 1

66%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

1:00

Ctrl Time

2:37

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Robert Valentin	1 / 3	13 / 15	1 / 1	2
1	Dusko Todorovic	1 / 1	1 / 1	2 / 3	0

The Pick

Vegas favorite

Robert Valentin

Odds

-168

Market-implied probability

Dusko Todorovic 40%

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

$100 bet returns

Dusko Todorovic (model pick · research)$239

Robert Valentin$160

40% market-implied · model 55% (research) · vufc_v7_0_20260718_090638

🔒 Pick locked Jul 18, 2026, 9:29 AM UTC · never rewritten

Dusko Todorovic

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights11

Robert Valentin

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights4