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Middleweight

3 Rounds

7 days away

Elo1494

Elo1460

Dusko TodorovicvsRobert ValentinUFC Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · Saturday, August 1, 2026Belgrade, Serbia

Fight begins in

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Robert Valentin enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Dusko Todorovic is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Robert Valentin has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Dusko Todorovic has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Dusko Todorovic

Red Corner

Robert Valentin

Blue Corner

+120

(45%)

Vegas Odds

-140

(58%)

1494

Elo

1460

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'2"

187.96 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dusko Todorovic

oldest →

KOvs Jordan Wright · Oct 22

KOvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Mar 23

KOvs Mansur Abdul-Malik · Nov 24

vs Zach Reese · May 25

SUBvs Jose Daniel Medina · Sep 25

latest

Robert ValentinL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Ryan Loder · Aug 24

vs Torrez Finney · Apr 25

KOvs Ateba Gautier · Jul 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dusko TodorovicMetricRobert Valentin

4.73

Strikes / min

1.30

4.40

Strikes absorbed / min

2.72

48%

Strike defense

33%

1.77

TDs / 15 min

0.59

42%

Takedown defense

55%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

1.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.33Δ 1.75 — meaningful gap-1.42

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dusko Todorovic(10 fights)Robert Valentin(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +34.4|Blue -34.4

Recent Form

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red -15.3|Blue +15.3

Layoff

Red -56.0|Blue +56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.

KO / TKO89%

Historical win share: Dusko Todorovic earned 75% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission11%

Historical win share: Dusko Todorovic earned 25% of wins by submission.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Dusko Todorovic

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights10

Robert Valentin

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights3