Welterweight
3 Rounds
Rick Story won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, August 7, 2010·Oakland, California, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Rick Story wins(62.7%)
Actual result: Rick Story wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rick Story has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Rick Story has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Rick Story (53.5%).
- Dustin Hazelett has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Dustin Hazelett
Red Corner
VS
Rick Story
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
40
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
5'9"
193.04 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dustin Hazelett
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Mark Bocek · Dec 10Rick Story
oldest →latest
L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Mar 14W
SUBvs Leonardo Mafra · Jul 14W
vs Gunnar Nelson · Oct 14W
vs Tarec Saffiedine · May 16L
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Aug 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dustin HazelettMetricRick Story
2.24
Strikes / min
3.80
3.51
Strikes absorbed / min
2.17
46%
Strike defense
62%
0.55
TDs / 15 min
2.53
25%
Takedown defense
63%
4.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.27Δ 2.90 — meaningful gap+1.63
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dustin HazelettRick Story
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dustin Hazelett(2 fights)Rick Story(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-18.518.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+48.2-48.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.0-49.0
Dustin Hazelett
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights2
Rick Story
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights16