Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Dustin Jacoby won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 31, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDustin Jacoby: Pressure fightervsBruno Lopes: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Bruno Lopes wins(54.7%)
Actual result: Dustin Jacoby wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dustin Jacoby is a KO finisher (70% of wins). Bruno Lopes has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Bruno Lopes has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Dustin Jacoby
Red Corner
VS
Bruno Lopes
Blue Corner
-194
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+162
(38%)
38
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'2"
193.04 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dustin JacobyW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Aug 23L
vs Alonzo Menifield · Dec 23L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Jun 24W
KOvs Vitor Petrino · Dec 24W
KOvs Julius Walker · Feb 26Bruno Lopes
oldest →latest
W
vs Magomed Gadzhiyasulov · Jan 25L
KOvs Navajo Stirling · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dustin JacobyMetricBruno Lopes
5.40
Strikes / min
2.88
3.92
Strikes absorbed / min
4.21
57%
Strike defense
54%
0.32
TDs / 15 min
1.93
62%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.48Δ 2.81 — meaningful gap-1.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dustin JacobyBruno Lopes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dustin Jacoby(10 fights)Bruno Lopes(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+11.5-11.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+28.0-28.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Dustin Jacoby
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights16
Bruno Lopes
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights3