Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Dustin Jacoby won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, October 31, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDustin Jacoby: Pressure fightervsJustin Ledet: Striker
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Dustin Jacoby wins(54.0%)
Actual result: Dustin Jacoby wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dustin Jacoby enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Justin Ledet enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Dustin Jacoby is a KO finisher (70% of wins). Justin Ledet has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Dustin Jacoby has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Justin Ledet has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Dustin Jacoby
Red Corner
VS
Justin Ledet
Blue Corner
-400
(80%)
Vegas Odds
+296
(25%)
38
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'4"
193.04 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dustin JacobyW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Alonzo Menifield · Dec 23L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Jun 24W
KOvs Vitor Petrino · Dec 24W
KOvs Bruno Lopes · May 25W
KOvs Julius Walker · Feb 26Justin LedetL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Mark Godbeer · Nov 16W
vs Zu Anyanwu · Sep 17L
vs Aleksandar Rakic · Jul 18L
KOvs Johnny Walker · Feb 19L
vs Aleksa Camur · Jan 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dustin JacobyMetricJustin Ledet
5.40
Strikes / min
3.35
3.92
Strikes absorbed / min
4.82
57%
Strike defense
49%
0.32
TDs / 15 min
0.23
62%
Takedown defense
42%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.48Δ 2.95 — meaningful gap-1.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dustin JacobyJustin Ledet
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dustin Jacoby(10 fights)Justin Ledet(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-25.625.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+2912.0-2912.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-2.12.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Dustin Jacoby
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights16
Justin Ledet
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights7