Flyweight
3 Rounds
Dustin Ortiz won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 20, 2018·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Style matchupDustin Ortiz: WrestlervsAlexandre Pantoja: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Alexandre Pantoja wins(50.1%)
Actual result: Dustin Ortiz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexandre Pantoja has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Dustin Ortiz
Red Corner
VS
Alexandre Pantoja
Blue Corner
-135
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+115
(47%)
37
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'5"
165.1 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dustin Ortiz
oldest →latest
W
vs Zach Makovsky · Dec 16L
SUBvs Brandon Moreno · Apr 17W
KOvs Hector Sandoval · Aug 17W
vs Matheus Nicolau · Jul 18L
vs Joseph Benavidez · Jan 19Alexandre Pantoja
oldest →latest
W
vs Brandon Royval · Dec 23W
vs Steve Erceg · May 24W
SUBvs Kai Asakura · Dec 24W
SUBvs Kai Kara-France · Jun 25L
KOvs Joshua Van · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dustin OrtizMetricAlexandre Pantoja
2.94
Strikes / min
4.38
2.17
Strikes absorbed / min
3.88
56%
Strike defense
49%
3.01
TDs / 15 min
2.79
52%
Takedown defense
69%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.77evenly matched on net striking+0.50
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dustin OrtizAlexandre Pantoja
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dustin Ortiz(10 fights)Alexandre Pantoja(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-13.113.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-20.020.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Dustin Ortiz
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights14
Alexandre Pantoja
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights18