Flyweight
3 Rounds
Dustin Ortiz won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, August 5, 2017·Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico, Mexico
Style matchupDustin Ortiz: WrestlervsHector Sandoval: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Dustin Ortiz wins(62.1%)
Actual result: Dustin Ortiz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Hector Sandoval has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Dustin Ortiz
Red Corner
VS
Hector Sandoval
Blue Corner
-175
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+155
(39%)
37
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'2"
165.1 cm
Reach
162.56 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dustin Ortiz
oldest →latest
W
vs Zach Makovsky · Dec 16L
SUBvs Brandon Moreno · Apr 17W
vs Alexandre Pantoja · Jan 18W
vs Matheus Nicolau · Jul 18L
vs Joseph Benavidez · Jan 19Hector SandovalW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Wilson Reis · Jul 16W
vs Fredy Serrano · Dec 16W
KOvs Matt Schnell · Apr 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dustin OrtizMetricHector Sandoval
2.94
Strikes / min
3.31
2.17
Strikes absorbed / min
2.33
56%
Strike defense
65%
3.01
TDs / 15 min
3.49
52%
Takedown defense
71%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.77evenly matched on net striking+0.98
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dustin OrtizHector Sandoval
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dustin Ortiz(10 fights)Hector Sandoval(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-16.416.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.1-2.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Dustin Ortiz
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights14
Hector Sandoval
StanceOrthodox
Height62.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights4