Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dustin Pague enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Dustin Pague threatens submissions; Jared Papazian has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jared Papazian (53.5%).
- Dustin Pague has a 18cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dustin PagueL5 streak
oldest →L
KOvs John Albert · Dec 11L
vs Yves Jabouin · Jun 13L
KOvs Kyoji Horiguchi · Oct 13 Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Dustin PagueJared Papazian
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dustin Pague(6 fights)Jared Papazian(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +48.0|Blue -48.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage