Bantamweight
3 Rounds
John Albert won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 3, 2011·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Dustin Pague wins(57.6%)
Actual result: John Albert wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dustin Pague enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- John Albert enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Dustin Pague threatens submissions; John Albert has lost 100% of fights by sub.
- Dustin Pague has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Dustin Pague
Red Corner
VS
John Albert
Blue Corner
-225
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+205
(33%)
38
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'8"
187.96 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dustin PagueL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Jared Papazian · Jun 12L
vs Ken Stone · Jun 12L
vs Chico Camus · Aug 12L
vs Yves Jabouin · Jun 13L
KOvs Kyoji Horiguchi · Oct 13John AlbertL4 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Ivan Menjivar · Feb 12L
SUBvs Erik Perez · Jun 12L
SUBvs Scott Jorgensen · Dec 12L
SUBvs Yaotzin Meza · Jul 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dustin PagueMetricJohn Albert
1.65
Strikes / min
3.05
2.96
Strikes absorbed / min
2.82
41%
Strike defense
35%
1.03
TDs / 15 min
0.00
55%
Takedown defense
50%
2.60
Sub atts / 15 min
6.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.31Δ 1.54 — meaningful gap+0.23
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dustin Pague(6 fights)John Albert(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Dustin Pague
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights6
John Albert
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights5