Lightweight
5 Rounds
Dustin Poirier won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 11, 2017·Norfolk, Virginia, USA, USA
Style matchupDustin Poirier: Submission grapplervsAnthony Pettis: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Dustin Poirier wins(71.0%)
Actual result: Dustin Poirier wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dustin Poirier (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Dustin Poirier
Red Corner
VS
Anthony Pettis
Blue Corner
-110
(52%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
37
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
182.88 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dustin PoirierL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Michael Chandler · Nov 22L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Jul 23W
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Mar 24L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jun 24L
vs Max Holloway · Jul 25Anthony PettisW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Stephen Thompson · Mar 19L
vs Nate Diaz · Aug 19L
SUBvs Diego Ferreira · Jan 20W
vs Donald Cerrone · May 20W
vs Alex Morono · Dec 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dustin PoirierMetricAnthony Pettis
5.24
Strikes / min
3.05
4.57
Strikes absorbed / min
3.44
52%
Strike defense
54%
1.15
TDs / 15 min
0.61
64%
Takedown defense
60%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.67Δ 1.06 — meaningful gap-0.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dustin PoirierAnthony Pettis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dustin Poirier(10 fights)Anthony Pettis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+67.6-67.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+147.0-147.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.7-1.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Dustin Poirier
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights31
Anthony Pettis
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights20