Lightweight
5 Rounds
Dustin Poirier won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, July 10, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDustin Poirier: Submission grapplervsConor McGregor: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Dustin Poirier wins(73.5%)
Actual result: Dustin Poirier wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dustin Poirier is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Conor McGregor has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Dustin Poirier
Red Corner
VS
Conor McGregor
Blue Corner
-129
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+100
(50%)
37
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'9"
182.88 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dustin PoirierL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Michael Chandler · Nov 22L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Jul 23W
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Mar 24L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jun 24L
vs Max Holloway · Jul 25Conor McGregor
oldest →latest
W
vs Nate Diaz · Aug 16W
KOvs Eddie Alvarez · Nov 16L
SUBvs Khabib Nurmagomedov · Oct 18W
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Jan 20L
KOvs Dustin Poirier · Jan 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dustin PoirierMetricConor McGregor
5.24
Strikes / min
5.32
4.57
Strikes absorbed / min
4.66
52%
Strike defense
54%
1.15
TDs / 15 min
0.67
64%
Takedown defense
66%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.67evenly matched on net striking+0.66
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dustin PoirierConor McGregor
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dustin Poirier(10 fights)Conor McGregor(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+82.4-82.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Dustin Poirier
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights31
Conor McGregor
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights14