Lightweight
5 Rounds
Dustin Poirier won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, June 27, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDustin Poirier: Submission grapplervsDan Hooker: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Dustin Poirier wins(66.9%)
Actual result: Dustin Poirier wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dan Hooker (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Dustin Poirier
Red Corner
VS
Dan Hooker
Blue Corner
-225
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
37
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
5'9"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dustin PoirierL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Michael Chandler · Nov 22L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Jul 23W
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Mar 24L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jun 24L
vs Max Holloway · Jul 25Dan HookerL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Claudio Puelles · Nov 22W
vs Jalin Turner · Jul 23W
vs Mateusz Gamrot · Aug 24L
SUBvs Arman Tsarukyan · Nov 25L
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dustin PoirierMetricDan Hooker
5.24
Strikes / min
4.82
4.57
Strikes absorbed / min
4.94
52%
Strike defense
49%
1.15
TDs / 15 min
0.68
64%
Takedown defense
77%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.67evenly matched on net striking-0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dustin PoirierDan Hooker
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dustin Poirier(10 fights)Dan Hooker(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+50.9-50.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+168.0-168.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Dustin Poirier
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights31
Dan Hooker
StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights24