Lightweight
3 Rounds
Dustin Poirier won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, April 4, 2015·Fairfax, Virginia, USA, USA
Style matchupDustin Poirier: Submission grapplervsDiego Ferreira: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Dustin Poirier wins(77.1%)
Actual result: Dustin Poirier wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dustin Poirier is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Diego Ferreira has lost 57% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dustin Poirier (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Dustin Poirier
Red Corner
VS
Diego Ferreira
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
37
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'9"
182.88 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dustin PoirierL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Michael Chandler · Nov 22L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Jul 23W
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Mar 24L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jun 24L
vs Max Holloway · Jul 25Diego FerreiraL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Mateusz Gamrot · Dec 21W
KOvs Michael Johnson · May 23W
KOvs Mateusz Rebecki · May 24L
vs Grant Dawson · Jan 25L
KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dustin PoirierMetricDiego Ferreira
5.24
Strikes / min
4.70
4.57
Strikes absorbed / min
3.46
52%
Strike defense
55%
1.15
TDs / 15 min
0.82
64%
Takedown defense
57%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.67evenly matched on net striking+1.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dustin PoirierDiego Ferreira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dustin Poirier(10 fights)Diego Ferreira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+51.0-51.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+28.0-28.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.5-2.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Dustin Poirier
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights31
Diego Ferreira
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights17