Lightweight
3 Rounds
Dustin Poirier won · M-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 11, 2017·Brooklyn, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupDustin Poirier: Submission grapplervsJim Miller: Submission grappler
Submission battle — patience and grip-fighting decide it on the mat.
Model Prediction: Dustin Poirier wins(63.4%)
Actual result: Dustin Poirier wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jim Miller threatens submissions; Dustin Poirier has lost 44% of fights by sub.
- Dustin Poirier has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Dustin Poirier
Red Corner
VS
Jim Miller
Blue Corner
-450
(82%)
Vegas Odds
+360
(22%)
37
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'8"
182.88 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dustin PoirierL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Michael Chandler · Nov 22L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Jul 23W
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Mar 24L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jun 24L
vs Max Holloway · Jul 25Jim Miller
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jesse Butler · Jun 23W
SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Jan 24L
vs King Green · Apr 24W
SUBvs Damon Jackson · Nov 24L
vs Chase Hooper · Apr 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dustin PoirierMetricJim Miller
5.24
Strikes / min
2.92
4.57
Strikes absorbed / min
3.43
52%
Strike defense
56%
1.15
TDs / 15 min
1.49
64%
Takedown defense
47%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.67Δ 1.18 — meaningful gap-0.51
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dustin PoirierJim Miller
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dustin Poirier(10 fights)Jim Miller(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+27.5-27.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+56.0-56.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Dustin Poirier
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights31
Jim Miller
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights39