Featherweight
3 Rounds
Dustin Poirier won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 15, 2012·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDustin Poirier: Submission grapplervsJonathan Brookins: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Dustin Poirier wins(73.5%)
Actual result: Dustin Poirier wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jonathan Brookins has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Dustin Poirier
Red Corner
VS
Jonathan Brookins
Blue Corner
-270
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+248
(29%)
37
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dustin PoirierL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Michael Chandler · Nov 22L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Jul 23W
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Mar 24L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jun 24L
vs Max Holloway · Jul 25Jonathan Brookins
oldest →latest
W
vs Michael Johnson · Dec 10L
vs Erik Koch · Sep 11W
KOvs Vagner Rocha · Feb 12L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Jun 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dustin PoirierMetricJonathan Brookins
5.24
Strikes / min
2.69
4.57
Strikes absorbed / min
3.63
52%
Strike defense
56%
1.15
TDs / 15 min
1.94
64%
Takedown defense
80%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.67Δ 1.61 — meaningful gap-0.94
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dustin PoirierJonathan Brookins
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dustin Poirier(10 fights)Jonathan Brookins(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+41.4-41.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+17.0-17.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.8-1.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Dustin Poirier
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights31
Jonathan Brookins
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights5