Featherweight
3 Rounds
Dustin Poirier won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 1, 2011·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDustin Poirier: Submission grapplervsJosh Grispi: Submission grappler
Submission battle — patience and grip-fighting decide it on the mat.
Model Prediction: Dustin Poirier wins(71.1%)
Actual result: Dustin Poirier wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Josh Grispi enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Dustin Poirier has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dustin Poirier (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Dustin Poirier
Red Corner
VS
Josh Grispi
Blue Corner
+250
(29%)
Vegas Odds
-300
(75%)
37
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'11"
182.88 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dustin PoirierL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Michael Chandler · Nov 22L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Jul 23W
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Mar 24L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jun 24L
vs Max Holloway · Jul 25Josh GrispiL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs George Roop · Jun 11L
SUBvs Rani Yahya · Aug 12L
vs Andy Ogle · Feb 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dustin PoirierMetricJosh Grispi
5.24
Strikes / min
1.44
4.57
Strikes absorbed / min
3.71
52%
Strike defense
50%
1.15
TDs / 15 min
1.97
64%
Takedown defense
16%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
2.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.67Δ 2.94 — meaningful gap-2.27
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dustin Poirier(10 fights)Josh Grispi(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Dustin Poirier
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights31
Josh Grispi
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4