Lightweight
5 Rounds
Michael Johnson won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, September 17, 2016·Hidalgo, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupDustin Poirier: Submission grapplervsMichael Johnson: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Dustin Poirier wins(73.4%)
Actual result: Michael Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michael Johnson has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Dustin Poirier
Red Corner
VS
Michael Johnson
Blue Corner
-165
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+145
(41%)
37
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'10"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dustin PoirierL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Michael Chandler · Nov 22L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Jul 23W
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Mar 24L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jun 24L
vs Max Holloway · Jul 25Michael Johnson
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Diego Ferreira · May 23W
vs Darrius Flowers · Feb 24W
KOvs Ottman Azaitar · Dec 24W
vs Daniel Zellhuber · Jul 25L
KOvs Drew Dober · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dustin PoirierMetricMichael Johnson
5.24
Strikes / min
4.27
4.57
Strikes absorbed / min
3.78
52%
Strike defense
58%
1.15
TDs / 15 min
0.57
64%
Takedown defense
81%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.67evenly matched on net striking+0.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dustin PoirierMichael Johnson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dustin Poirier(10 fights)Michael Johnson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+86.7-86.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-168.0168.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Dustin Poirier
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights31
Michael Johnson
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights32