Featherweight
3 Rounds
Dustin Poirier won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, November 12, 2011·Anaheim, California, USA, USA
Style matchupDustin Poirier: Submission grapplervsPablo Garza: Submission grappler
Submission battle — patience and grip-fighting decide it on the mat.
Model Prediction: Dustin Poirier wins(69.9%)
Actual result: Dustin Poirier wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dustin Poirier has 49pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dustin Poirier (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Dustin Poirier
Red Corner
VS
Pablo Garza
Blue Corner
-225
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+205
(33%)
37
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
6'1"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dustin PoirierL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Michael Chandler · Nov 22L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Jul 23W
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Mar 24L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jun 24L
vs Max Holloway · Jul 25Pablo Garza
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Fredson Paixao · Dec 10W
SUBvs Yves Jabouin · Apr 11L
vs Dennis Bermudez · May 12W
vs Mark Hominick · Nov 12L
SUBvs Diego Brandao · Apr 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dustin PoirierMetricPablo Garza
5.24
Strikes / min
3.37
4.57
Strikes absorbed / min
2.70
52%
Strike defense
50%
1.15
TDs / 15 min
0.94
64%
Takedown defense
15%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.67evenly matched on net striking+0.67
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dustin PoirierPablo Garza
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dustin Poirier(10 fights)Pablo Garza(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-42.042.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.3-2.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Dustin Poirier
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights31
Pablo Garza
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6