Lightweight
3 Rounds
Dustin Poirier won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, June 6, 2015·New Orleans, Louisiana, USA, USA
Style matchupDustin Poirier: Submission grapplervsYancy Medeiros: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Dustin Poirier wins(68.0%)
Actual result: Dustin Poirier wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Yancy Medeiros enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Dustin Poirier is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Yancy Medeiros has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Yancy Medeiros threatens submissions; Dustin Poirier has lost 44% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dustin Poirier (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Dustin Poirier
Red Corner
VS
Yancy Medeiros
Blue Corner
-250
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+230
(30%)
37
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
182.88 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dustin PoirierL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Michael Chandler · Nov 22L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Jul 23W
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Mar 24L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jun 24L
vs Max Holloway · Jul 25Yancy MedeirosL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Alex Oliveira · Dec 17L
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Feb 18L
KOvs Gregor Gillespie · Jan 19L
vs Lando Vannata · Feb 20L
vs Damir Hadzovic · Jun 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dustin PoirierMetricYancy Medeiros
5.24
Strikes / min
4.36
4.57
Strikes absorbed / min
5.67
52%
Strike defense
47%
1.15
TDs / 15 min
0.33
64%
Takedown defense
73%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.67Δ 1.98 — meaningful gap-1.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dustin PoirierYancy Medeiros
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dustin Poirier(10 fights)Yancy Medeiros(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+74.1-74.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-113.0113.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.3-2.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Dustin Poirier
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights31
Yancy Medeiros
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights14