Middleweight
3 Rounds
Gerald Meerschaert won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 18, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDustin Stoltzfus: WrestlervsGerald Meerschaert: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Gerald Meerschaert wins(57.0%)
Actual result: Gerald Meerschaert wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Gerald Meerschaert (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Dustin Stoltzfus
Red Corner
VS
Gerald Meerschaert
Blue Corner
+190
(34%)
Vegas Odds
-235
(70%)
34
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'1"
190.5 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dustin StoltzfusL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Punahele Soriano · Dec 23L
KOvs Brunno Ferreira · Jun 24W
KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · Nov 24L
vs Nursulton Ruziboev · May 25L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Sep 25Gerald MeerschaertL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Aug 24L
SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Nov 24L
vs Brad Tavares · Apr 25L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 25L
SUBvs Kyle Daukaus · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dustin StoltzfusMetricGerald Meerschaert
3.30
Strikes / min
2.95
3.23
Strikes absorbed / min
3.44
47%
Strike defense
53%
2.08
TDs / 15 min
1.70
46%
Takedown defense
40%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.07evenly matched on net striking-0.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dustin StoltzfusGerald Meerschaert
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dustin Stoltzfus(10 fights)Gerald Meerschaert(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-70.870.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+42.0-42.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.51.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Dustin Stoltzfus
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights10
Gerald Meerschaert
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights25