Middleweight
3 Rounds
Sam Alvey won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Friday, November 7, 2014·Sydney, New South Wales, Australia, Australia
Style matchupDylan Andrews: WrestlervsSam Alvey: Striker
Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Dylan Andrews wins(53.7%)
Actual result: Sam Alvey wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sam Alvey enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Sam Alvey is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Dylan Andrews has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Sam Alvey has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dylan Andrews (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Dylan Andrews
Red Corner
VS
Sam Alvey
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
46
Age
40
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'2"
187.96 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dylan AndrewsL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jimmy Quinlan · Apr 13W
KOvs Papy Abedi · Aug 13L
KOvs Clint Hester · Dec 13L
vs Bradley Scott · May 15Sam AlveyL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ryan Spann · May 20L
SUBvs Julian Marquez · Apr 21L
vs Wellington Turman · Aug 21L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Feb 22L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dylan AndrewsMetricSam Alvey
2.21
Strikes / min
3.28
2.72
Strikes absorbed / min
3.63
46%
Strike defense
52%
2.83
TDs / 15 min
0.06
57%
Takedown defense
82%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.51evenly matched on net striking-0.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dylan AndrewsSam Alvey
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dylan Andrews(5 fights)Sam Alvey(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+36.0-36.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+253.0-253.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Dylan Andrews
StanceSwitch
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights5
Sam Alvey
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights23