Middleweight
3 Rounds
Cesar Almeida won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, April 6, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Cesar Almeida wins(56.5%)
Actual result: Cesar Almeida wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Cesar Almeida is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Dylan Budka has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Dylan Budka has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dylan Budka (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Dylan Budka
Red Corner
VS
Cesar Almeida
Blue Corner
-166
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
26
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'1"
190.5 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dylan BudkaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Andre Petroski · Sep 24L
KOvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Feb 25Cesar Almeida
oldest →latest
L
vs Roman Kopylov · Jun 24W
vs Ihor Potieria · Oct 24W
KOvs Abdul Razak Alhassan · Jan 25L
vs Cezary Oleksiejczuk · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dylan BudkaMetricCesar Almeida
1.06
Strikes / min
3.46
1.80
Strikes absorbed / min
2.03
42%
Strike defense
46%
1.93
TDs / 15 min
0.00
76%
Takedown defense
52%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.74Δ 2.17 — meaningful gap+1.43
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dylan BudkaCesar Almeida
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dylan Budka(3 fights)Cesar Almeida(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Dylan Budka
StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights3
Cesar Almeida
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights5