Lightweight
3 Rounds
Result: Red · KO/TKO R3
RG
JG
Rafa GarciavsJared Gordon
UFC Event · Saturday, September 13, 2025 · San Antonio, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Jared Gordon wins(57.6%)
Actual result: Rafa Garcia wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Tale of the Tape
Rafa Garcia
Red Corner
VS
Jared Gordon
Blue Corner
+152
(40%)
Vegas Odds
-180
(64%)
31
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Career Averages (per fight)
4.3
Sig. Strikes
5.6
3.1
Takedowns
1.8
0.5
Sub Attempts
0.0
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-23.523.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+49.0-49.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Rafa Garcia
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10
Jared Gordon
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights16