Rafael NatalvsAndrew Craig

UFC Event · Wednesday, July 11, 2012 · San Jose, California, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Rafael Natal wins(58.8%)

Actual result: Andrew Craig wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Incorrect

Tale of the Tape

Rafael Natal

Red Corner

Andrew Craig

Blue Corner

+130

(43%)

Vegas Odds

-140

(58%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'1"

195.58 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

30.0

Sig. Strikes

36.0

3.3

Takedowns

1.0

0.5

Sub Attempts

0.0

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

-0.10.1

RedLayoff (days)Blue

+27.0-27.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

-0.30.3

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+1.1-1.1

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

+0.3-0.3

Rafael Natal

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights16

Andrew Craig

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights7