Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kamaru Usman enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Joaquin Buckley enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kamaru Usman (54.1%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kamaru UsmanL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Jorge Masvidal · Apr 21W
vs Colby Covington · Nov 21L
KOvs Leon Edwards · Aug 22L
vs Leon Edwards · Mar 23L
vs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 23 latest Joaquin BuckleyW5 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Vicente Luque · Mar 24W
vs Nursulton Ruziboev · May 24W
KOvs Stephen Thompson · Oct 24W
KOvs Colby Covington · Dec 24 latest Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Kamaru UsmanJoaquin Buckley
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kamaru Usman(10 fights)Joaquin Buckley(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +50.7|Blue -50.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.7|Blue +1.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +420.0|Blue -420.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage