Lightweight
5 Rounds
Result: Red · SUB R1
CO
JG
Charles OliveiravsJustin Gaethje
UFC Event · Saturday, May 7, 2022 · Phoenix, Arizona, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Charles Oliveira wins(59.9%)
Actual result: Charles Oliveira wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Charles Oliveira
Red Corner
VS
Justin Gaethje
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+110
(48%)
36
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Career Averages (per fight)
3.4
Sig. Strikes
6.8
2.2
Takedowns
0.1
2.8
Sub Attempts
0.0
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+107.7-107.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-35.035.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-2.02.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Charles Oliveira
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights36
Justin Gaethje
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights15