Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Elo1517

Elo1527

Ethyn EwingvsRafael Estevam

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · Saturday, April 4, 2026Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Rafael Estevam enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Ethyn Ewing

Red Corner

Rafael Estevam

Blue Corner

-150

(60%)

Vegas Odds

+120

(45%)

1517

Elo

1527

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'8"

175.26 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ethyn Ewing

oldest →

vs Malcolm Wellmaker · Nov 25

latest

Rafael EstevamW3 streak

oldest →

vs Charles Johnson · Nov 23

vs Jesus Aguilar · Feb 25

vs Felipe Bunes · Aug 25

latest

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ethyn EwingRafael Estevam

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ethyn Ewing(1 fights)Rafael Estevam(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -10.5|Blue +10.5

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -105.0|Blue +105.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

The Pick

Vegas favorite

Ethyn Ewing

Odds

-150

Market-implied probability

No market line yet

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

$100 bet returns

Ethyn Ewing (model pick · research)$167

Rafael Estevam$220

No market line yet · model 55% (research) · vufc_v4_pure_sklearn_histgb_20260517_110941

🔒 Pick locked May 17, 2026, 11:10 AM UTC · never rewritten

Ethyn Ewing

No profile data.

Rafael Estevam

No profile data.