Brandon MorenovsLone'er Kavanagh

UFC Event · Saturday, February 28, 2026 · Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico, Mexico

Model Prediction: Brandon Moreno wins(59.1%)

Actual result: Lone'er Kavanagh wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Incorrect

Tale of the Tape

Brandon Moreno

Red Corner

Lone'er Kavanagh

Blue Corner

-198

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+166

(38%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'6"

177.8 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

3.8

Sig. Strikes

4.1

1.4

Takedowns

1.1

0.4

Sub Attempts

0.2

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+66.1-66.1

RedLayoff (days)Blue

-105.0105.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

-0.20.2

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+0.3-0.3

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

+0.2-0.2

Brandon Moreno

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights18

Lone'er Kavanagh

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights4