Rinya NakamuravsNathan Fletcher

UFC Event · Saturday, August 2, 2025 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Rinya Nakamura wins(55.3%)

Actual result: Rinya Nakamura wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Rinya Nakamura

Red Corner

Nathan Fletcher

Blue Corner

-360

(78%)

Vegas Odds

+290

(26%)

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'7"

172.72 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

3.3

Sig. Strikes

3.4

2.6

Takedowns

3.4

1.4

Sub Attempts

0.7

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+27.4-27.4

RedLayoff (days)Blue

+63.0-63.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

+0.1-0.1

RedStriker ScoreBlue

0.00.0

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-0.20.2

Rinya Nakamura

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights5

Nathan Fletcher

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights3