Middleweight
3 Rounds
Derek Brunson won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 31, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupEd Herman: Submission grapplervsDerek Brunson: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Derek Brunson wins(54.4%)
Actual result: Derek Brunson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Derek Brunson has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Derek Brunson (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Ed Herman
Red Corner
VS
Derek Brunson
Blue Corner
+540
(16%)
Vegas Odds
-660
(87%)
45
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'1"
195.58 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ed HermanL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Patrick Cummins · May 19W
vs Khadis Ibragimov · Nov 19W
SUBvs Mike Rodriguez · Sep 20L
vs Alonzo Menifield · Aug 21L
KOvs Zak Cummings · Apr 23Derek BrunsonL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Aug 20W
vs Kevin Holland · Mar 21W
SUBvs Darren Till · Sep 21L
KOvs Jared Cannonier · Feb 22L
KOvs Dricus Du Plessis · Mar 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ed HermanMetricDerek Brunson
3.31
Strikes / min
3.51
3.71
Strikes absorbed / min
3.05
42%
Strike defense
51%
1.96
TDs / 15 min
3.14
59%
Takedown defense
85%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.40evenly matched on net striking+0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ed HermanDerek Brunson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ed Herman(10 fights)Derek Brunson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+33.5-33.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+112.0-112.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Ed Herman
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights16
Derek Brunson
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights21