Middleweight
3 Rounds
Ed Herman won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Sunday, August 14, 2011·Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA, USA
Style matchupEd Herman: Submission grapplervsKyle Noke: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Ed Herman wins(50.1%)
Actual result: Ed Herman wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kyle Noke enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Kyle Noke has 22pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kyle Noke (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Ed Herman
Red Corner
VS
Kyle Noke
Blue Corner
+122
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-132
(57%)
45
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'1"
195.58 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ed HermanL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Patrick Cummins · May 19W
vs Khadis Ibragimov · Nov 19W
SUBvs Mike Rodriguez · Sep 20L
vs Alonzo Menifield · Aug 21L
KOvs Zak Cummings · Apr 23Kyle NokeL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jonavin Webb · May 15W
KOvs Peter Sobotta · Nov 15L
vs Alex Morono · Jan 16L
SUBvs Keita Nakamura · Jul 16L
vs Omari Akhmedov · Nov 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ed HermanMetricKyle Noke
3.31
Strikes / min
3.23
3.71
Strikes absorbed / min
2.09
42%
Strike defense
64%
1.96
TDs / 15 min
1.53
59%
Takedown defense
66%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.40Δ 1.54 — meaningful gap+1.14
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ed HermanKyle Noke
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ed Herman(10 fights)Kyle Noke(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-37.037.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-98.098.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Ed Herman
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights16
Kyle Noke
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights12