Middleweight
3 Rounds
Thales Leites won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 16, 2013·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupEd Herman: Submission grapplervsThales Leites: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Ed Herman wins(64.7%)
Actual result: Thales Leites wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Thales Leites has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ed Herman has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Ed Herman
Red Corner
VS
Thales Leites
Blue Corner
+165
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-175
(64%)
45
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'1"
195.58 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ed HermanL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Patrick Cummins · May 19W
vs Khadis Ibragimov · Nov 19W
SUBvs Mike Rodriguez · Sep 20L
vs Alonzo Menifield · Aug 21L
KOvs Zak Cummings · Apr 23Thales Leites
oldest →latest
L
vs Krzysztof Jotko · Nov 16W
vs Sam Alvey · Apr 17L
vs Brad Tavares · Oct 17L
KOvs Jack Hermansson · May 18W
vs Hector Lombard · Sep 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ed HermanMetricThales Leites
3.31
Strikes / min
2.13
3.71
Strikes absorbed / min
2.99
42%
Strike defense
52%
1.96
TDs / 15 min
2.10
59%
Takedown defense
30%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.40evenly matched on net striking-0.86
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ed HermanThales Leites
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ed Herman(10 fights)Thales Leites(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+53.2-53.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Ed Herman
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights16
Thales Leites
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights13