Middleweight
3 Rounds
Ed Herman won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 27, 2013·Seattle, Washington, USA, USA
Style matchupEd Herman: Submission grapplervsTrevor Smith: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Ed Herman wins(52.4%)
Actual result: Ed Herman wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Trevor Smith enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Ed Herman
Red Corner
VS
Trevor Smith
Blue Corner
-175
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+165
(38%)
45
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'3"
195.58 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ed HermanL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Patrick Cummins · May 19W
vs Khadis Ibragimov · Nov 19W
SUBvs Mike Rodriguez · Sep 20L
vs Alonzo Menifield · Aug 21L
KOvs Zak Cummings · Apr 23Trevor SmithL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Andrew Sanchez · Dec 16W
vs Chris Camozzi · May 17L
vs Elias Theodorou · May 18L
vs Zak Cummings · Dec 18L
KOvs Makhmud Muradov · Dec 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ed HermanMetricTrevor Smith
3.31
Strikes / min
3.29
3.71
Strikes absorbed / min
3.31
42%
Strike defense
51%
1.96
TDs / 15 min
1.70
59%
Takedown defense
60%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.40evenly matched on net striking-0.02
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ed HermanTrevor Smith
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ed Herman(10 fights)Trevor Smith(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+56.4-56.4
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.348.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
Ed Herman
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights16
Trevor Smith
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights12