Justin TafavsJared Vanderaa

UFC Event · Saturday, May 22, 2021 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Justin Tafa wins(57.0%)

Actual result: Jared Vanderaa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Incorrect

Tale of the Tape

Justin Tafa

Red Corner

Jared Vanderaa

Blue Corner

-178

(64%)

Vegas Odds

+157

(39%)

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'4"

187.96 cm

Reach

203.2 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

5.2

Sig. Strikes

5.6

0.0

Takedowns

0.5

0.0

Sub Attempts

0.0

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

-0.00.0

RedLayoff (days)Blue

+35.0-35.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

+0.5-0.5

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+0.1-0.1

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-0.40.4

Justin Tafa

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights9

Jared Vanderaa

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights7