Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Eddie Alvarez is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Justin Gaethje has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Justin Gaethje is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Eddie Alvarez has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Eddie AlvarezL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Gilbert Melendez · Jun 15W
vs Anthony Pettis · Jan 16W
KOvs Rafael Dos Anjos · Jul 16L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Nov 16L
KOvs Dustin Poirier · Jul 18 Justin GaethjeW2 streak
oldest →W
vs Rafael Fiziev · Mar 23W
KOvs Dustin Poirier · Jul 23L
KOvs Max Holloway · Apr 24W
vs Rafael Fiziev · Mar 25W
vs Paddy Pimblett · Jan 26 Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Eddie AlvarezJustin Gaethje
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Eddie Alvarez(7 fights)Justin Gaethje(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +17.1|Blue -17.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.2|Blue -2.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +237.0|Blue -237.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage