Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Bryan Caraway won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 25, 2015·Chicago, Illinois, USA, USA
Style matchupEddie Wineland: StrikervsBryan Caraway: Wrestler
Classic striker-vs-wrestler. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Eddie Wineland wins(57.6%)
Actual result: Bryan Caraway wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Eddie Wineland enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Eddie Wineland has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Tale of the Tape
Eddie Wineland
Red Corner
VS
Bryan Caraway
Blue Corner
-140
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
41
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'8"
175.26 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Eddie WinelandL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Alejandro Perez · Jul 18W
vs Grigorii Popov · Jun 19L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Jun 20L
KOvs John Castaneda · Feb 21L
KOvs Cody Stamann · Jun 22Bryan CarawayL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Erik Perez · Jun 14L
vs Raphael Assuncao · Oct 14W
vs Aljamain Sterling · May 16L
vs Cody Stamann · Mar 18L
KOvs Pedro Munhoz · Nov 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Eddie WinelandMetricBryan Caraway
3.40
Strikes / min
2.53
3.76
Strikes absorbed / min
3.61
68%
Strike defense
54%
0.34
TDs / 15 min
2.57
86%
Takedown defense
80%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.36evenly matched on net striking-1.08
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Eddie WinelandBryan Caraway
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Eddie Wineland(10 fights)Bryan Caraway(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-39.739.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+147.0-147.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Eddie Wineland
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights16
Bryan Caraway
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights10