Bantamweight
3 Rounds
John Castaneda won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, February 20, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupEddie Wineland: StrikervsJohn Castaneda: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Eddie Wineland wins(50.2%)
Actual result: John Castaneda wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Eddie Wineland has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors John Castaneda (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Eddie Wineland
Red Corner
VS
John Castaneda
Blue Corner
+100
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-125
(56%)
41
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'7"
Height
5'6"
175.26 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Eddie WinelandL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs John Dodson · Apr 17L
vs Alejandro Perez · Jul 18W
vs Grigorii Popov · Jun 19L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Jun 20L
KOvs Cody Stamann · Jun 22John CastanedaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Daniel Santos · Oct 22W
vs Muin Gafurov · Jun 23W
vs Kyung Ho Kang · Nov 23L
vs Daniel Marcos · Jun 24L
vs Chris Gutierrez · Apr 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Eddie WinelandMetricJohn Castaneda
3.40
Strikes / min
4.95
3.76
Strikes absorbed / min
5.07
68%
Strike defense
54%
0.34
TDs / 15 min
1.49
86%
Takedown defense
75%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.36evenly matched on net striking-0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Eddie WinelandJohn Castaneda
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Eddie Wineland(10 fights)John Castaneda(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+5.9-5.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+49.0-49.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Eddie Wineland
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights16
John Castaneda
StanceSwitch
Height66.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights8