Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Eddie Wineland won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 17, 2016·Sacramento, California, USA, USA
Style matchupEddie Wineland: StrikervsTakeya Mizugaki: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Eddie Wineland wins(50.3%)
Actual result: Eddie Wineland wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Eddie Wineland enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Eddie Wineland is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Takeya Mizugaki has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Eddie Wineland has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Eddie Wineland has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Eddie Wineland
Red Corner
VS
Takeya Mizugaki
Blue Corner
-170
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+150
(40%)
41
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'7"
175.26 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Eddie WinelandL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Alejandro Perez · Jul 18W
vs Grigorii Popov · Jun 19L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Jun 20L
KOvs John Castaneda · Feb 21L
KOvs Cody Stamann · Jun 22Takeya Mizugaki
oldest →latest
W
vs Francisco Rivera · May 14L
KOvs Dominick Cruz · Sep 14L
SUBvs Aljamain Sterling · Apr 15W
vs George Roop · Sep 15L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Aug 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Eddie WinelandMetricTakeya Mizugaki
3.40
Strikes / min
3.37
3.76
Strikes absorbed / min
3.27
68%
Strike defense
57%
0.34
TDs / 15 min
1.46
86%
Takedown defense
70%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.36evenly matched on net striking+0.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Eddie WinelandTakeya Mizugaki
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Eddie Wineland(10 fights)Takeya Mizugaki(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-41.041.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+28.0-28.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Eddie Wineland
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights16
Takeya Mizugaki
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights14