Flyweight
3 Rounds
Edgar Chairez won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, February 24, 2024·Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico, Mexico
Model Prediction: Edgar Chairez wins(54.7%)
Actual result: Edgar Chairez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Lacerda enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Edgar Chairez threatens submissions; Daniel Lacerda has lost 40% of fights by sub.
- Edgar Chairez has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Edgar Chairez has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Daniel Lacerda (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Edgar Chairez
Red Corner
VS
Daniel Lacerda
Blue Corner
-500
(83%)
Vegas Odds
+380
(21%)
30
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'7"
Height
5'6"
180.34 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Edgar ChairezW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Tatsuro Taira · Jul 23L
vs Joshua Van · Sep 24W
SUBvs CJ Vergara · Mar 25W
vs Felipe Bunes · Feb 26Daniel LacerdaL4 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Jeff Molina · Oct 21L
SUBvs Francisco Figueiredo · Apr 22L
KOvs Victor Altamirano · Aug 22L
KOvs CJ Vergara · Mar 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Edgar ChairezMetricDaniel Lacerda
3.65
Strikes / min
3.95
4.75
Strikes absorbed / min
8.28
46%
Strike defense
34%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
2.32
38%
Takedown defense
0%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.10Δ 3.23 — meaningful gap-4.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Edgar ChairezDaniel Lacerda
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Edgar Chairez(5 fights)Daniel Lacerda(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+46.7-46.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-105.0105.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Edgar Chairez
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights5
Daniel Lacerda
StanceSwitch
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights5